Posted by: mbconsulting | July 1, 2010

Who will be President in Poland?

The 2010 Presidential Campaign is going to its finals. At the end of this week, on 4th of July, 2010, the Polish citizens will elect their President for the next five years. At the first round, the first two best placed candidates:

Mr. Bronislaw Komorowski who was well placed by surveys but could not won more than 50% from the votes in the first round,

and

– Mr. Jaroslaw Kaczynski will have their final decided confrontation.

Andrzej Rychard, Professor of Social Sciences at the Polish Academy of Science, said: “The air crash and the floods have contributed to a very peculiar climate, a less aggressive and more silent campaign than usual.”

It is expected a participation that will be around 50% as was at the previous elections and at the last round. Maybe because of such a difference between the two personalities, the number of the participants to increase as was happened in Romania, during the second round for the Presidential Election from 2009.

Adam Easton, from BBC News, Warsaw commented on the first round as:

Perhaps the biggest surprise is how well Jaroslaw Kaczynski did, trailing Bronislaw Komorowski by just 4.5%.

Before April’s plane crash, Mr Kaczynski was one of the least trusted politicians in Poland. The combative and euro-sceptic former prime minister, who antagonised neighbours Germany and Russia, was voted out of office in 2007.

He appears to have maintained his core support of socially conservative voters, and won over others by presenting himself as a changed man, prepared to compromise with opponents, in the wake of his own personal loss.

Both candidates will now vie for those who voted for the third-placed left-wing candidate. Mr Komorowski’s views on gender equality and state-funding for IVF treatment are closer to the left, but Mr Kaczynski could win over some with his warnings about the excesses of free-market liberalism.

Who will win?
Please take this poll. Thanks.

“>

In spite of the fact that this campaign was started earlier, caused by the death of former President Mr. Lech Kaczynski in a crash airplane accident, the confrontation between the representative of the Civic Platform, Mr. Bronislaw Komorowski and the representative of Law and Justice, Mr. Jaroslaw Kaczynski, in fact, is not a surprise.

Both parties were new entries in 2001 Parliamentary Election in Poland and at the time these parties obtained:
– 65 places, representing 12.7% , for Civic Platform, as the second party in Parliament after the Left Democratic Party that won 41% from the total places;
and
– 44 places, representing 9.5 %, for Law and Justice, the fourth political party in Parliament.

As Poland was going into a continuous transformation, after the Parliamentary and Presidential election from 2005, but more important after European Integration in 2007, when the twin brothers could not handle properly Poland, and new Parliamentary election were organised as the premature dissolution of the Sejm, and the main political forces reelected were:

– Civic Platform with 209 places, representing 41% from the total places;
and
– Law and Justice with 166 places, representing 30% from the total places,

and far behind them it was the alliance of the left-wing with 13% of the total places. During the Parliamentary election the participation at vote was more than 53%, that was a record after the declined interest for voting recording in 2001 and more obviously in 2005, when was declining to around 40%.

It is maybe one of the few cases where new political forces succeeded in less than 5 years to gain the majority of the votes and together could formed a strong majority in Parliament. The majority was gained by forces that may be considered as right or center-right on the political spectrum. In spite of the controversies among these two political forces, the stability and the new way of thinking brought by them lead to a stable economy and strong opinions expressed in European Union.

What will bring the new elections for Poland, for Europe and for the whole world?

Waiting for your comments and keep in touch until then,

Sincerely,

Mbconsulting@live.com

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Responses

  1. […] Posted in Election, Leader, News, Opinion, Politics | Tags: 2010 Presidential Election, Poland « Who will be President in Poland? […]


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